Annette Idler: 'Strategic Resources in 2030: Three Challenges for the Future of International Security', Background paper prepared for the World Economic Forum's Geopolitics Series, Davos, January 2018

Discussion Papers

Idler (2017) 'Strategic Resources in 2030: Three Challenges for the Future of International Security', available here.    

The world’s security landscape is changing rapidly, influenced by geopolitical shifts, new demographic pressures, an increasing disconnect between power centres and communities at the margins, and the speedy expansion of new technologies. This expansion has produced a shift in resources strategic for the global economy and for human wellbeing more broadly. If current trends persist without major external shocks while the Fourth Industrial Revolution is unfolding, by 2030 this shift is likely to yield three challenges for the future of international security. This paper sets out these three challenges, namely (i) catastrophic consequences, (ii) deliberate disruptions, and (iii) extra-physical erosion.

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